Optimal Push Ranges and Positions for low-M chipstacks in poker tournaments

In poker, We’ve all been a situation where we wondered what the correct play really was when we played a hand. You know, you’re sitting three seats before the button nursing a shortish stack of T15,000. The blinds are 1k/2k with a 200 ante. It folds around to you and you look down at ace-nine offsuit – a marginal hand. or is it? You look over at the big-blind who has your stacksize covered. You’re pretty sure he will call your raise 100% of the time.

Do you fold, or do you go all in? What types of hands can you go all in with profitably even if your opponent knows what cards you have?

Your “M” ratio (a concept coined by poker-player Dan Harrington) is simply a measure of your chipcount divided by the cost of a round of play at the current blind-level. Describing your chipstack in terms of M instead of big-blinds is appropriate when antes are in play.

If there are 9 players on the table and the small blind 300 and the big-blind is 600 with 100 antes, and you have 18,000 chips, you have an “M” of 10.

The key to playing perfectly and most importantly unexploitably – in these low M situations is to be aware of which hands you can go all-in with even if the villain (the big-blind) knows your hand, to result in positive Chip EV

With an M of 10, if it folds to you in the hijack +2 (3 before the button) you can unexploitably shove the range of hands: TT+ ATs+ A5s-A4s AJo+ KTs+ KQo QJs

Optimal Shoves for low M situations

*note – the action must be folded to you (in the majority of cases) for the shove to be correct.

Position Optimal Push
10M
sb 22+ Ax+ K2s+ K6o+ Q2s+ Q8o+ J2s+ J8o+ T4s+ T7o+ 95s+ 97o+ 84s+ 87o 74s+ 76o 64s+ 53s+
button 22+ A2s+ A8o+ A5o K2s+ K9o+ Q6s+ QTo+ J7s+ JTo T7s+ T9o 97s+ 87s 76s
co 22+ A2s+ ATo+ K9s+ KJo+ Q9s+ QJo J9s+ T9s
hj 99+ A2s+ ATo+ KTs+ KJo+ QTs+ JTs
hj+1 TT+ A9s+ A5s-A4s ATo+ KTs+ KQo QTs+
hj+2 TT+ ATs+ A5s-A4s AJo+ KTs+ KQo QJs
hj+3 JJ+ ATs+ AJo+ KJs+ KQo QJs
hj+4 QQ+ ATs+ A5s-A4s AJo+ KQs KQo
9M
sb 22+ Ax+ K2s+ K6o+ Q2s+ Q8o+ J3s+ J8o+ T4s+ T7o+ 95s+ 97o+ 85s+ 87o 74s+ 76o 64s+ 53s+
button 22+ A2s+ A7o+ A5o-A4o K2s+ KTo+ Q6s+ QTo+ J7s+ J9o+ T7s+ T9o 97s+ 86s+ 76s
co 22+ A2s+ ATo+ K9s+ KTo+ Q9s+ QJo J9s+ T9s
hj 88+ 66 A2s+ ATo+ K9s+ KJo+ QTs+ JTs
hj+1 99+ A9s+ A5s-A3s ATo+ KTs+ KQo QTs+ JTs
hj+2 TT+ A9s+ A5s-A4s AJo+ KTs+ KQo QJs
hj+3 JJ+ A9s+ A5s-A3s AJo+ KTs+ KQo QJs
hj+4 JJ+ ATs+ A5s AJo+ KJs+ KQo
8M
sb 22+ Ax+ K2s+ K4o+ Q2s+ Q8o+ J3s+ J7o+ T3s+ T7o+ 95s+ 97o+ 84s+ 86o+ 74s+ 76o 63s+ 53s+ 43s
button 22+ Ax+ K2s+ KTo+ Q6s+ QTo+ J7s+ JTo T7s+ T9o 97s+ 86s+ 76s
co 22+ A2s+ ATo+ K7s+ KTo+ Q8s+ QJo J9s+ T9s
hj 44+ A7s+ A5s-A2s ATo+ K9s+ KJo+ Q9s+ J9s+ T9s
hj+1 99+ A7s+ A5s-A2s ATo+ KTs+ KQo QTs+ JTs
hj+2 TT+ A9s+ A5s-A4s ATo+ KTs+ KQo QTs+
hj+3 TT+ A9s+ A5s-A4s AJo+ KTs+ KQo QJs
hj+4 JJ+ ATs+ AJo+ KJs+ KQo QJs
7M
sb 22+ Ax+ K2s+ K4o+ Q2s+ Q8o+ J2s+ J7o+ T3s+ T7o+ 95s+ 97o+ 84s+ 86o+ 74s+ 76o 63s+ 65o 53s+ 43s
button 22+ Ax+ K3s+ K9o+ Q5s+ Q9o+ J7s+ J9o+ T7s+ T9o 96s+ 86s+ 76s 65s
co 22+ A2s+ A9o+ K5s+ KTo+ Q8s+ QTo+ J8s+ JTo T8s+ 98s 87s
hj 22+ A7s+ A5s-A2s ATo+ K9s+ KJo+ Q9s+ J9s+ T9s
hj+1 33+ A8s+ A5s-A2s AJo+ K9s+ KJo+ QTs+ JTs
hj+2 99+ A9s+ A7s A5s-A2s AJo+ KTs+ KQo QTs+ JTs
hj+3 TT+ A9s+ A5s AJo+ KTs+ KQo QTs+
hj+4 TT+ ATs+ A5s AJo+ KTs+ KQo QJs
6M
sb 22+ Kx+ Q2s+ Q6o+ J2s+ J7o+ T3s+ T7o+ 93s+ 96o+ 84s+ 86o+ 73s+ 76o 63s+ 65o 53s+ 43s
button 22+ Ax+ K3s+ K9o+ Q5s+ Q9o+ J7s+ J9o+ T7s+ T9o 96s+ 86s+ 76s 65s
co 22+ A2s+ A7o+ A5o K3s+ KTo+ Q6s+ QTo+ J7s+ JTo T7s+ T9o 97s+ 87s 76s
hj 22+ A2s+ ATo+ K9s+ KTo+ Q9s+ QJo J9s+ T9s
hj+1 44+ A7s+ A5s-A2s ATo+ K9s+ KJo+ Q9s+ J9s+ T9s
hj+2 88+ A7s+ A5s-A2s ATo+ KTs+ KJo+ QTs+ JTs
hj+3 99+ A9s+ A5s-A4s AJo+ KTs+ KQo QTs+ JTs
hj+4 TT+ A9s+ A5s-A4s AJo+ KTs+ KQo QJs
5M
sb 22+ Kx+ Q2s+ Q4o+ J2s+ J7o+ T2s+ T6o+ 93s+ 96o+ 84s+ 86o+ 73s+ 75o+ 63s+ 65o 52s+ 54o 43s
button 22+ Ax+ K2s+ K9o+ Q5s+ Q9o+ J7s+ J9o+ T6s+ T9o 96s+ 86s+ 75s+ 65s 54s
co 22+ Ax+ K4s+ KTo+ Q6s+ QTo+ J7s+ JTo T7s+ T9o 97s+ 87s 76s
hj 22+ A2s+ ATo+ K7s+ KTo+ Q8s+ QTo+ J8s+ JTo T8s+ 98s
hj+1 22+ A2s+ ATo+ K9s+ KJo+ Q9s+ QJo J9s+ T9s
hj+2 44+ A7s+ A5s-A2s ATo+ K9s+ KJo+ QTs+ JTs T9s
hj+3 88+ A7s+ A5s-A2s ATo+ KTs+ KQo QTs+ JTs
hj+4 99+ A9s+ A7s A5s-A2s AJo+ KTs+ KQo QTs+ JTs
4M
sb 22+ Qx+ J2s+ J5o+ T2s+ T6o+ 92s+ 96o+ 83s+ 86o+ 73s+ 75o+ 63s+ 65o 52s+ 54o 43s
button 22+ Ax+ K2s+ K8o+ Q4s+ Q9o+ J5s+ J9o+ T6s+ T9o 96s+ 98o 85s+ 75s+ 65s 54s
co 22+ Ax+ K4s+ KTo+ Q6s+ QTo+ J7s+ J9o+ T7s+ T9o 97s+ 86s+ 76s 65s
hj 22+ A2s+ A4o+ K4s+ KTo+ Q6s+ QTo+ J7s+ JTo T7s+ 97s+ 87s 76s
hj+1 22+ A2s+ ATo+ K7s+ KTo+ Q8s+ QTo+ J9s+ T8s+ 98s
hj+2 22+ A2s+ ATo+ K9s+ KJo+ Q9s+ QJo J9s+ T9s
hj+3 44+ A7s+ A5s-A2s ATo+ K9s+ KJo+ QTs+ JTs
hj+4 44+ A8s+ A5s-A3s AJo+ KTs+ KQo QTs+ JTs
3M
sb 22+ Jx+ T2s+ T5o+ 92s+ 95o+ 82s+ 85o+ 73s+ 75o+ 62s+ 65o 52s+ 54o 42s+
button 22+ Ax+ K2s+ K5o+ Q4s+ Q9o+ J6s+ J9o+ T6s+ T9o 96s+ 98o 85s+ 75s+ 64s+ 54s
co 22+ Ax+ K3s+ K9o+ Q6s+ QTo+ J7s+ JTo T7s+ T9o 97s+ 86s+ 76s 65s
hj 22+ Ax+ K5s+ KTo+ Q8s+ QTo+ J8s+ JTo T8s+ 97s+ 87s
hj+1 22+ A2s+ A7o+ A5o K7s+ KTo+ Q8s+ QTo+ J8s+ JTo T8s+ 98s
hj+2 22+ A2s+ A9o+ K7s+ KTo+ Q8s+ QJo J8s+ T8s+ 98s
hj+3 22+ A2s+ ATo+ K8s+ KTo+ Q9s+ QJo J9s+ T9s
hj+4 22+ A7s+ A5s-A2s ATo+ K9s+ KJo+ Q9s+ J9s+ T9s
2M
sb 22+ Tx+ 92s+ 95o+ 82s+ 85o+ 73s+ 75o+ 62s+ 64o+ 52s+ 54o 42s+
button 22+ Kx+ Q4s+ Q8o+ J7s+ J9o+ T7s+ T9o 97s+ 86s+ 76s 65s
co 22+ Ax+ K2s+ K7o+ Q7s+ Q9o+ J8s+ JTo T8s+ 97s+ 87s 76s
hj 22+ Ax+ K5s+ K9o+ Q8s+ QTo+ J8s+ JTo T8s+ 97s+ 87s 76s
hj+1 22+ Ax+ K7s+ KTo+ Q9s+ QTo+ J9s+ JTo T8s+ 98s
hj+2 22+ A2s+ A4o+ K8s+ KTo+ Q9s+ QJo J9s+ T8s+ 98s
hj+3 22+ A2s+ A8o+ K7s+ KTo+ Q9s+ QJo J9s+ T8s+ 98s
hj+4 22+ A2s+ A9o+ K9s+ KJo+ Q9s+ QJo J9s+ T9s
1M
sb 22+ 8x+ 72s+ 73o+ 62s+ 63o+ 52s+ 53o+ 42s+ 32s
button 33+ Ax+ K2s+ K6o+ Q5s+ Q8o+ J7s+ J9o+ T8s+
co 33+ Ax+ K4s+ K8o+ Q8s+ Q9o+ J8s+ JTo T9s
hj 33+ A2s+ A3o+ K5s+ K9o+ Q8s+ QTo+ J8s+ JTo T9s
hj+1 44+ A2s+ A5o+ K6s+ K9o+ Q9s+ QTo+ J9s+
hj+2 44+ A2s+ A7o+ A5o K6s+ KTo+ Q9s+ QTo+ J9s+ T9s
hj+3 44+ A3s+ A8o+ K9s+ KTo+ Q9s+ QJo JTs
hj+4 44+ A4s+ A9o+ K9s+ KTo+ Q9s+ JTs

Bink: 3rd in the ongame $100,000 guaranteed.

I decided to grind OnGame. Good structures, decent prize-pools and game selection, and the RNG doesnt seem as brutal as elsewhere etc imo.

Anyway TL;DR > I managed to get 3rd place in the $100,000 $108 1r/1a for $12,900 or so. I had chiplead when 4 handed then donked it off with some moves. I ran pretty well in flip situations, I even hit a royal flush vs a guys boat (not quads as I thought cos that would have been a SIICK BEAT.. I got moved tables before I had time to click on Hand-History..) and of course I got it in bad once or twice too and managed to bink my way out of trouble (as you must do sometimes, if you want to win NLHE tournaments).

I had camtasia running for the last hour or two, so Ill upload it online sometime if anyone wants to see it.

p.s the cynic in me wonders if THIS SHIT always happens to keep some equity on site before you cash out after a decent BINK.
100k-3rd-place

[video] 2nd place in the $50 1r/1a (aka $50 cubed) on PokerStars for $3700

I pretty much never play on stars (preferring the lower variance of the smaller fields on bossmedia), and I never use BRM on stars since I seldom play there. Ft was full of solid regs with between 400k and 1,1 million in PROFIT on stars.. so no easy tbl to abuse)

Anyway, I recorded this game to A) stop me exploding like a muppet when deep, and B) to get some feedback if necessary.

I’m pretty sure I could have been more aggro late on, but I think i managed to play tightish well, maybe a bit rdcrsn’ish.. hmm. that’s how I was hoping to play it, given the opponents would likely be playing very well and 4bet bluffing the shit out of me quite often. anyway comments, criticism welcome please – even if it’s just to tell me how much of a fish I am :)

I’m back baby

Thought I’d blog up my poker progress recently since it’s been quite a long time since I’ve had time to blog. Overall I’ve had a good month so far on my latest BossMedia Account (old one was retired due to Celeb moving to iPoker).

I’m playing good and patiently for the most part in late-game, closing a lot (inspired by hearing shaun fking deeb’s sick stat of winning >60% of games he final tables.)

Obv I’ve been running okay too – and crushing the nits on tables of boss media. I’m game selecting the best MTTs (€25rebuy €40 deepstack and the €50k) or playing everything (costs ~€300 in buyins for an evening of grinding like 14 mtts- so you just need to final table/win one to breakeven for the evening – but just forget doing anything else if you’re doing this on a laptop with touchpad hehehe. I usually just play 3 or 4..)

Since putting in some solid grind this month, I now have a decent 41% ROI on Boss. Obligatory sharkscope screenshot (Obviously had to take screengrab before i get a grimstarr graph )

My next goal (I guess) is 70% ROI, then it’s time to find a site with bigger buyins, maybe a backer – and a solid rakeback deal.

I had some decent scores this month – a $15,000, a €2.5k, €1k and some other assorted little ones.

25rwin
dswin

41roi

I also binked a $15,000 win 2nd in a $109+r on a site which shall remain nameless. wiii.

Transactions on boss last 14 days – more out than in = winning. Not spewing it all at 400nl = also winning.

transactionlog

Although I am doing well again, I’m not tempted to play full-time again. What an antisocial grind that would be. I love life /work / ballin’ too much to be locked in from of a pc from 9am ’till 2am every night!

Boss Media Bugs – rebuy killers and other fails

I love boss media. It’s soft, the software is okay, fields are small, and I don’t pay tax on winnings.
boss media
The site has some pretty ridiculous game-killer bugs. I just re-discovered one that has been in their software for years:

Boss Media Rebuy Killer Bug:If you lose your stack during rebuy period in a MTT AND if the server decides to move you to a new table (table balancing) – the software moves you to another table before letting you rebuy – so it kicks you out.

I had to request a refund tonight because of this issue.

Please oh please – fix your servers Boss Media. Oh and while you are at it, can you fix the following too? :

Other Boss Media tournament bugs

- Allow instant rebuy in a rebuy tournament (HELLO??!!)
- Allow Double Rebuys
- Allow auto add-on (I mean players currently 5 seconds for an addon.. WTF. Make it last as long as the break period – 5 minutes.)
- Get your hand history viewer to work with CHROME (13% market share)- not just Firefox (which is losing market share). .

I’m sure I left out a load of bugs. I know the cashgame players would love an instant topup option too.